FlarePath
Research

The whole record, reshaped by a question.

Every count below is the Board's own coding across the cases in scope — findings, occurrences, phases, recommendations, the evidence held. Click any bar to make it the filter. No fleet-exposure data exists here, so these are cases, never rates.

Years–clear all filters
24
cases in this slice
1
fatal accidents
1
lives lost
23
with a probable cause
4
with coded findings
14
safety recommendations

The record over time

cases per year by cohort, and the lives lost — click a year to focus on it

Why accidents happen

4 coded casesthe Board's findings taxonomy — causal findings in the probable cause, contributing factors beside them; occurrences and the phase of flight the defining event sat in
Personnel issues2 cases · 3 causal · 0 contributing
  • Task performance — Maintenance1
  • Action/decision — Info processing/decision1
  • Physical — Impairment/incapacitation1
Aircraft2 cases · 5 causal · 0 contributing
  • Aircraft systems — Landing gear system1
  • Aircraft oper/perf/capability — Performance/control parameters1
  • Aircraft power plant — Engine (turbine/turboprop)1
Environmental issues2 cases · 3 causal · 0 contributing
  • Conditions/weather/phenomena — Wind, Turbulence2
  • Operating environment — Airport facilities/design1
Organizational issues1 cases · 3 causal · 0 contributing
  • Support/oversight/monitoring — Oversight1
  • Development — Design1
  • Management — Policy/procedure1

Solid = cited in the probable cause · outlined = contributing factor · hover a row for the most-cited specifics.

Occurrences coded
Phase of flight of the defining event
  • Enroute2
  • Takeoff2
  • Landing1

Aircraft and operators

by manufacturer family and operating rule — counts of cases, with no fleet-size denominator, so a busy family simply flies more
Aircraft family
Operating rule
Operators with the most cases
  • Mesaba Aviation6
  • American Eagle Airlines4
  • Mesaba Airlines2
  • Shuttle America2
  • Chicago Express Airlines1
  • Colgan Air1
  • Lambert Leasing1
  • Peninsula Airways1
  • Peninsula Aviationservices Inc. · 1 lives1
  • Rex Regional Express1

What changed because of them

14 recommendations · 7 opensafety recommendations issued from these cases, by the NTSB's status of the response
  • Closed · acceptable 3
  • Closed · unacceptable 4
  • Open · acceptable response 5
  • Open · unacceptable response 1
  • Open · awaiting response 1
Issued per year
05102006 · Recommendations: 420062021 · Recommendations: 102021
Recommendations
Reiterated most often

None reiterated.

Evidence held

what the corpus can show for this slice, year by year — a docket, decoded flight data, a transcript, photographs, controller audio
Public docket2000 · Public docket: 0 of 5 cases2001 · Public docket: 0 of 1 cases2002 · Public docket: 2 of 3 cases2003 · Public docket: 0 of 2 cases2004 · Public docket: 1 of 4 cases2005 · Public docket: 0 of 2 cases2006 · Public docket: 0 of 2 cases2007 · Public docket: 0 of 0 cases2008 · Public docket: 0 of 1 cases2009 · Public docket: 1 of 1 cases2010 · Public docket: 1 of 1 cases2011 · Public docket: 0 of 0 cases2012 · Public docket: 0 of 0 cases2013 · Public docket: 0 of 0 cases2014 · Public docket: 0 of 0 cases2015 · Public docket: 0 of 0 cases2016 · Public docket: 0 of 0 cases2017 · Public docket: 0 of 0 cases2018 · Public docket: 0 of 0 cases2019 · Public docket: 1 of 1 cases2020 · Public docket: 0 of 0 cases2021 · Public docket: 0 of 0 cases2022 · Public docket: 0 of 0 cases2023 · Public docket: 0 of 0 cases2024 · Public docket: 0 of 0 cases2025 · Public docket: 0 of 1 casesFlight-data tables2000 · Flight-data tables: 0 of 5 cases2001 · Flight-data tables: 0 of 1 cases2002 · Flight-data tables: 0 of 3 cases2003 · Flight-data tables: 0 of 2 cases2004 · Flight-data tables: 0 of 4 cases2005 · Flight-data tables: 0 of 2 cases2006 · Flight-data tables: 0 of 2 cases2007 · Flight-data tables: 0 of 0 cases2008 · Flight-data tables: 0 of 1 cases2009 · Flight-data tables: 0 of 1 cases2010 · Flight-data tables: 0 of 1 cases2011 · Flight-data tables: 0 of 0 cases2012 · Flight-data tables: 0 of 0 cases2013 · Flight-data tables: 0 of 0 cases2014 · Flight-data tables: 0 of 0 cases2015 · Flight-data tables: 0 of 0 cases2016 · Flight-data tables: 0 of 0 cases2017 · Flight-data tables: 0 of 0 cases2018 · Flight-data tables: 0 of 0 cases2019 · Flight-data tables: 1 of 1 cases2020 · Flight-data tables: 0 of 0 cases2021 · Flight-data tables: 0 of 0 cases2022 · Flight-data tables: 0 of 0 cases2023 · Flight-data tables: 0 of 0 cases2024 · Flight-data tables: 0 of 0 cases2025 · Flight-data tables: 0 of 1 casesCVR transcript2000 · CVR transcript: 0 of 5 cases2001 · CVR transcript: 0 of 1 cases2002 · CVR transcript: 0 of 3 cases2003 · CVR transcript: 0 of 2 cases2004 · CVR transcript: 0 of 4 cases2005 · CVR transcript: 0 of 2 cases2006 · CVR transcript: 0 of 2 cases2007 · CVR transcript: 0 of 0 cases2008 · CVR transcript: 0 of 1 cases2009 · CVR transcript: 0 of 1 cases2010 · CVR transcript: 0 of 1 cases2011 · CVR transcript: 0 of 0 cases2012 · CVR transcript: 0 of 0 cases2013 · CVR transcript: 0 of 0 cases2014 · CVR transcript: 0 of 0 cases2015 · CVR transcript: 0 of 0 cases2016 · CVR transcript: 0 of 0 cases2017 · CVR transcript: 0 of 0 cases2018 · CVR transcript: 0 of 0 cases2019 · CVR transcript: 1 of 1 cases2020 · CVR transcript: 0 of 0 cases2021 · CVR transcript: 0 of 0 cases2022 · CVR transcript: 0 of 0 cases2023 · CVR transcript: 0 of 0 cases2024 · CVR transcript: 0 of 0 cases2025 · CVR transcript: 0 of 1 casesPhotographs2000 · Photographs: 0 of 5 cases2001 · Photographs: 0 of 1 cases2002 · Photographs: 0 of 3 cases2003 · Photographs: 0 of 2 cases2004 · Photographs: 0 of 4 cases2005 · Photographs: 0 of 2 cases2006 · Photographs: 0 of 2 cases2007 · Photographs: 0 of 0 cases2008 · Photographs: 0 of 1 cases2009 · Photographs: 0 of 1 cases2010 · Photographs: 0 of 1 cases2011 · Photographs: 0 of 0 cases2012 · Photographs: 0 of 0 cases2013 · Photographs: 0 of 0 cases2014 · Photographs: 0 of 0 cases2015 · Photographs: 0 of 0 cases2016 · Photographs: 0 of 0 cases2017 · Photographs: 0 of 0 cases2018 · Photographs: 0 of 0 cases2019 · Photographs: 0 of 1 cases2020 · Photographs: 0 of 0 cases2021 · Photographs: 0 of 0 cases2022 · Photographs: 0 of 0 cases2023 · Photographs: 0 of 0 cases2024 · Photographs: 0 of 0 cases2025 · Photographs: 0 of 1 casesATC audio2000 · ATC audio: 0 of 5 cases2001 · ATC audio: 0 of 1 cases2002 · ATC audio: 0 of 3 cases2003 · ATC audio: 0 of 2 cases2004 · ATC audio: 0 of 4 cases2005 · ATC audio: 0 of 2 cases2006 · ATC audio: 0 of 2 cases2007 · ATC audio: 0 of 0 cases2008 · ATC audio: 0 of 1 cases2009 · ATC audio: 0 of 1 cases2010 · ATC audio: 0 of 1 cases2011 · ATC audio: 0 of 0 cases2012 · ATC audio: 0 of 0 cases2013 · ATC audio: 0 of 0 cases2014 · ATC audio: 0 of 0 cases2015 · ATC audio: 0 of 0 cases2016 · ATC audio: 0 of 0 cases2017 · ATC audio: 0 of 0 cases2018 · ATC audio: 0 of 0 cases2019 · ATC audio: 0 of 1 cases2020 · ATC audio: 0 of 0 cases2021 · ATC audio: 0 of 0 cases2022 · ATC audio: 0 of 0 cases2023 · ATC audio: 0 of 0 cases2024 · ATC audio: 0 of 0 cases2025 · ATC audio: 0 of 1 casesProbable cause2000 · Probable cause: 5 of 5 cases2001 · Probable cause: 1 of 1 cases2002 · Probable cause: 3 of 3 cases2003 · Probable cause: 2 of 2 cases2004 · Probable cause: 4 of 4 cases2005 · Probable cause: 2 of 2 cases2006 · Probable cause: 2 of 2 cases2007 · Probable cause: 0 of 0 cases2008 · Probable cause: 1 of 1 cases2009 · Probable cause: 1 of 1 cases2010 · Probable cause: 1 of 1 cases2011 · Probable cause: 0 of 0 cases2012 · Probable cause: 0 of 0 cases2013 · Probable cause: 0 of 0 cases2014 · Probable cause: 0 of 0 cases2015 · Probable cause: 0 of 0 cases2016 · Probable cause: 0 of 0 cases2017 · Probable cause: 0 of 0 cases2018 · Probable cause: 0 of 0 cases2019 · Probable cause: 1 of 1 cases2020 · Probable cause: 0 of 0 cases2021 · Probable cause: 0 of 0 cases2022 · Probable cause: 0 of 0 cases2023 · Probable cause: 0 of 0 cases2024 · Probable cause: 0 of 0 cases2025 · Probable cause: 0 of 1 cases200020052010201520202025
Column height = share of that year’s cases for which we hold the item. Hover for counts.

What the record says for this slice

a pattern, not a findingthe causal findings the Board cited most often across the 4 coded cases here
  • Task performance › Maintenance · Personnel issues · 25%1 cases
  • Aircraft systems › Landing gear system · Aircraft · 25%1 cases
  • Aircraft oper/perf/capability › Performance/control parameters · Aircraft · 25%1 cases
  • Conditions/weather/phenomena › Wind · Environmental issues · 25%1 cases
  • Support/oversight/monitoring › Oversight · Organizational issues · 25%1 cases
  • Operating environment › Airport facilities/design · Environmental issues · 25%1 cases
  • Development › Design · Organizational issues · 25%1 cases
  • Management › Policy/procedure · Organizational issues · 25%1 cases
  • Action/decision › Info processing/decision · Personnel issues · 25%1 cases
  • Conditions/weather/phenomena › Turbulence · Environmental issues · 25%1 cases
  • Physical › Impairment/incapacitation · Personnel issues · 25%1 cases
  • Aircraft power plant › Engine (turbine/turboprop) · Aircraft · 25%1 cases

The cases

24 of 24newest first — open any case for its recorders, transcript, photographs and analyst
DateCaseAircraftOperatorWhereOutcomeEvidence
2025-10-08ENG26WA001
Part 121 airline
SAAB 340REX Regional ExpressAdelaide Aerodrome—no docket · open
2019-10-18DCA20MA002
Major investigation
Saab 2000Peninsula AviationServices Inc.,Unalaska, AKFatal · 140 docs · FDR tables
2010-04-06CEN10LA218
Part 121 airline
SAAB-SCANIA SAAB 340BMESABA AVIATION INCBradley, ILSerious injury2 docs
2009-07-31CEN09IA606
Part 121 airline
SAAB 340BMesaba Aviation, Inc.Traverse City, MINo injury2 docs
2008-07-29ANC08IA092
Part 121 airline
Saab-Scania AB (Saab) SAAB 340BPENINSULA AIRWAYS INCAnchorage, AKNo injuryno docket
2006-03-14CHI06LA092
Part 121 airline
Saab-Scania AB (Saab) 340BMesaba Aviation Inc. Alpena, MINo injuryno docket
2006-01-02LAX06IA076
Part 121 airline
Saab-Scania AB (Saab) SF340B+American Eagle Airlines, Inc.Santa Maria, CANo injuryno docket
2005-06-09NYC05IA093
Part 121 airline
Saab-Scania AB (Saab) 340AShuttle America CorporationDulles, VANo injuryno docket
2005-02-12LAX05LA105
Part 121 airline
SAAB-SCANIA SAAB 340BLos Angeles, CASerious injuryno docket
2004-11-14CHI05LA028
Part 121 airline
Saab-Scania AB (Saab) 340BChicago Express Airlines Inc Milwaukee, WISerious injuryno docket
2004-10-25DFW05LA010
Part 121 airline
Saab-Scania AB (Saab) SF-340BAmerican Eagle Airlines, Inc.Fort Worth, TXSerious injury3 docs
2004-02-25CHI04LA077
Part 121 airline
Saab-Scania AB (Saab) Saab 340BMESABA AVIATION INC Romulus, MINo injuryno docket
2004-02-01NYC04LA063
Part 121 airline
Saab-Scania AB (Saab) 340AShuttle AmericaPittsburgh, PANo injuryno docket
2003-11-13CHI04LA033
Part 121 airline
Saab-Scania Saab 340BMesaba Airlines Inc. Minneapolis, MNNo injuryno docket
2003-05-22NYC03LA114
Part 121 airline
Saab-Scania AB (Saab) 340BColgan Air dba US Airways ExpressFlushing, NYMinor injuryno docket
2002-09-04CHI02IA275
Part 121 airline
Saab-Scania AB (Saab) 340ADetroit, MINo injuryno docket
2002-07-21NYC02LA146
Part 121 airline
Saab-Scania AB (Saab) 340AMesaba Aviation Inc.Charleston, WVNo injury2 docs
2002-07-16MIA02LA134
Part 121 airline
Saab-Scania AB (Saab) SF340BMesaba AirlinesTupelo, MSSerious injury4 docs
2001-01-10FTW01IA051
Part 121 airline
Saab 340BAmerican Eagle Airlines, Inc.San Antonio, TXNo injuryno docket
2000-11-09CHI01LA033
Part 121 airline
Saab 340-B MESABA AVIATION, INC. ABERDEEN, SDMinor injuryno docket
2000-09-29NYC00LA269
Part 121 airline
Saab 340B BOSTON, MANo injuryno docket
2000-04-25CHI00LA124
Part 121 airline
Saab-Scania AB (Saab) SF-340B LAMBERT LEASING, INC. HANCOCK, MINo injuryno docket
2000-03-22FTW00FA101
Part 121 airline
Saab 340BAmerican Eagle Airlines, Inc.KILLEEN, TXMinor injuryno docket
2000-02-12NYC00IA078
Part 121 airline
Saab-Scania AB (Saab) 340B BOSTON, MAMinor injuryno docket