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Cases › WPR12LA144 › The analyst

BOEING 737-7H4SOUTHWEST AIRLINES CO

What the docket says, assembled. No language model is involved, so nothing on this page can be invented — every line traces to a recorder, a report page or the Board's own record.

12
timed facts
8
precedents
17
passages to ask

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Every answer is a passage of the docket with the page it came from, or the words “not in the docket”. Nothing is summarised or reasoned for you — read the source.

One timeline

12 timed factsthe recorder events from the FDR report, with the transcript's warnings, callouts, the words nearest each event and the final seconds — on one clock, as printed in each report
  1. 05:45FDRPre-departure/climbp.3
    Figure 1 basic parameter plot begins, covering entire flight through landing at 10:05
  2. 08:17:15 through 08:30:45FDRCruise at FL380p.4
    Expanded scale plots (Figures 3 and 4) show aircraft at FL380 experiencing fluctuations in vertical and lateral accelerations for about 6 minutes from 08:22 until 08:28
  3. 08:22 to 08:28 (about 5-6 minutes)FDRCruise at FL380p.3
    Vertical accelerations fluctuated between about 0.75g and 1.2g; lateral accelerations fluctuated between about +/- 0.05g
  4. 08:24FDRCruise at FL380p.3
    Winds aloft speed calculated by the FMC was about 140 knots from about 160 degrees true
  5. 08:27FDRDescentp.3
    Aircraft descended from flight level 380 to flight level 340
  6. 08:27:15FDRDescentp.4
    Shortly after starting a descent to flight level 340, the fluctuating accelerations decreased significantly
  7. after descent to FL340 (approx 08:28 onward)FDRCruise at FL340p.3
    Fluctuations in vertical and lateral accelerations decreased, fluctuating between 0.997g and 1.004g and +/- 0.01g, respectively
  8. 08:35:30 through 08:42:00FDRCruise at FL340/descent to FL320p.4
    Expanded scale plots (Figures 5 and 6) show the time period around the 0.255g to 1.7g vertical acceleration encounter at about 08:38:20
  9. 08:38:20FDRCruise at FL340p.3
    During otherwise decreased vertical and lateral accelerations at FL340, the vertical acceleration varied from about 0.255g to 1.7g within a 1 second period of time
  10. 08:38:20 (1 second period)FDRCruise at FL340p.4
    Elevator surface deflection varied between 2.78 to -5.07 degrees; rudder surface varied between about -1.5 and 1.8 degrees
  11. about 15 seconds after 08:38:20FDRDescentp.4
    Altitude hold mode was disengaged and the aircraft began a descent to flight level 320
  12. about 20 minutes after 08:38:20FDRCruise at FL320p.4
    FMC calculated a decrease in winds aloft at flight level 320 to under 30 knots for about 12 minutes; during this period the winds aloft shifted from about 160 degrees true to 340 degrees true
Recorder events without a clock time
  • shortly after departureAircraft climbed to flight level 380
Flight Data Recorder 10 - Specialist's Factual Report · 13 events extracted by claude-sonnet-5
How the Board coded the sequence
  1. Enroute-cruise: Turbulence encounter

Precedents

8 closest casesranked by what happened, in the Board's words, and by the findings and occurrences it coded
  • WPR11LA0712010-12-03no fatalitiesmatch 103
    BOEING 767 · International Lease Finance Corp
    Pago Pago, AQ
    • ●Environmental issues › Conditions/weather/phenomena › Turbulence
    Turbulence encounter
  • DCA22LA0012020-07-05no fatalitiesmatch 103
    BOEING 737-7H4 · SOUTHWEST AIRLINES CO
    Orlando, FL
    • ●Environmental issues › Conditions/weather/phenomena › Turbulence
    Turbulence encounter
  • WPR12LA1192012-02-23no fatalitiesmatch 102
    BOEING 737-7H4 · SOUTHWEST AIRLINES CO
    Pawnee, NE
    • ●Environmental issues › Conditions/weather/phenomena › Turbulence
    Turbulence encounter
  • DCA16CA0102015-10-24no fatalitiesmatch 102
    BOEING 737-924ER · UNITED AIR LINES INC
    Plevna, KS
    • ●Environmental issues › Conditions/weather/phenomena › Turbulence
    Turbulence encounter
  • DCA25LA0912024-12-29no fatalitiesmatch 102
    BOEING 767-322 · UNITED AIRLINES INC
    Gulf of America , GM
    • ●Environmental issues › Conditions/weather/phenomena › Turbulence
    Turbulence encounter
  • DCA24LA1302024-03-15no fatalitiesmatch 102
    BOEING 737-800 · SOUTHWEST AIRLINES CO
    Paris, TN
    • ●Environmental issues › Conditions/weather/phenomena › Turbulence
    Turbulence encounter
  • ERA10CA0222009-10-05no fatalitiesmatch 102
    BOEING 767-3P6 · DELTA AIR LINES INC
    Unknown, AR
    • ●Environmental issues › Conditions/weather/phenomena › Turbulence
    Turbulence encounter
  • ERA11CA2472011-04-17no fatalitiesmatch 101
    BOEING 757-2B7 · U.S. Airways, Inc.
    Cheltenham, MD
    • ●Environmental issues › Conditions/weather/phenomena › Turbulence
    Turbulence encounter

What the record says

a pattern, not a findingacross the 8 closest cases · 8 carry coded findings · 8 have a probable cause
Findings the Board cited in those cases
Occurrences it coded
  • 8 of 8Turbulence encounter
Set against the Board’s own findings for this case
Cited here, and common in the precedents
  • Conditions/weather/phenomena › Turbulence
Cited here, not seen in the precedents
  • —
Common in the precedents, not cited here
  • —

A teaching device, not a verdict: what the record would have looked at, next to what the Board found.

In the Board’s words — the closest cases
  • WPR11LA0712010-12-03 · BOEING 767 · International Lease Finance Corp
    The airplane’s encounter with convectively-induced turbulence, which resulted in serious injury to one flight attendant.
  • DCA22LA0012020-07-05 · BOEING 737-7H4 · SOUTHWEST AIRLINES CO
    An encounter with moderate turbulence during descent.
  • WPR12LA1192012-02-23 · BOEING 737-7H4 · SOUTHWEST AIRLINES CO
    The airplane's encounter with moderate turbulence during cruise flight, which resulted in a serious injury to a flight attendant.
  • DCA16CA0102015-10-24 · BOEING 737-924ER · UNITED AIR LINES INC
    An inadvertent encounter with clear air turbulence resulting in a serious injury to a flight attendant.
  • DCA25LA0912024-12-29 · BOEING 767-322 · UNITED AIRLINES INC
    An encounter with an area of clear air turbulence during cruise, which resulted in a serious injury to a flight attendant.

This is the pattern in the NTSB’s own record across similar accidents — which findings it cited, what it coded, what it recommended. It is drawn from the record, not written about this case, and it never assigns blame: investigations exist to prevent the next accident (ICAO Annex 13).