FlarePath
Cases › DCA15CA131 › The analyst

BOMBARDIER INC CL600 2D24MESA AIRLINES INC

What the docket says, assembled. No language model is involved, so nothing on this page can be invented — every line traces to a recorder, a report page or the Board's own record.

4
timed facts
8
precedents
9
passages to ask

Ask the docket

passages, not paraphrases
Try

Every answer is a passage of the docket with the page it came from, or the words “not in the docket”. Nothing is summarised or reasoned for you — read the source.

One timeline

4 timed factsthe recorder events from the FDR report, with the transcript's warnings, callouts, the words nearest each event and the final seconds — on one clock, as printed in each report
  1. 1614 CDT (approximately 21:13:23 UTC)FDRcruisep.3
    Aircraft encountered turbulence near McCook, Nebraska, approximately 1 hour and 16 minutes after takeoff
    see the traces at this moment ↗
  2. 21:13:23 UTC to 21:13:40 UTCFDRcruisep.3
    Vertical acceleration variations ranging between -0.55 g's and 1.64 g's recorded
    see the traces at this moment ↗
  3. 21:13:23 UTC to 21:13:40 UTCFDRcruisep.3
    Pressure altitude started at about 37,000 feet, increased to 37,179 feet, and decreased back to about 37,000 feet
    see the traces at this moment ↗
  4. approximately 1 hour 3 minutes after the event (approximately 22:16 UTC)FDRlandingp.3
    The aircraft landed
    see the traces at this moment ↗
Flight Data Recorder - Specialist's Factual Report · 4 events extracted by claude-sonnet-5
How the Board coded the sequence
  1. Enroute-cruise: Turbulence encounter

Precedents

8 closest casesranked by what happened, in the Board's words, and by the findings and occurrences it coded
  • DCA09IA0712009-08-03no fatalitiesmatch 88
    BOEING 767-224 · CONTINENTAL AIRLINES INC
    Bavaro, DO
    • ●Environmental issues › Conditions/weather/phenomena › Turbulence
    Turbulence encounter
  • DCA25LA2722025-07-17no fatalitiesmatch 88
    BOMBARDIER INC CL-600-2D24 · Endeavor Air
    Germantown, KY
    • ●Environmental issues › Conditions/weather/phenomena › Turbulence
    Turbulence encounter
  • WPR11LA0712010-12-03no fatalitiesmatch 87
    BOEING 767 · International Lease Finance Corp
    Pago Pago, AQ
    • ●Environmental issues › Conditions/weather/phenomena › Turbulence
    Turbulence encounter
  • DCA14CA0362014-01-10no fatalitiesmatch 86
    BOEING 757 232 · DELTA AIR LINES INC
    Atlanta, GA
    • ●Environmental issues › Conditions/weather/phenomena › Turbulence
    Turbulence encounter
  • DCA16IA2152016-08-12no fatalitiesmatch 85
    AIRBUS A320 232 · JetBlue Airways
    Wood, SD
    • ●Environmental issues › Conditions/weather/phenomena › Turbulence
    Turbulence encounter
  • DCA12FA0462012-02-24no fatalitiesmatch 85
    AIRBUS A321 · U.S Airways Inc.,
    Millville, NJ
    • ●Environmental issues › Conditions/weather/phenomena › Turbulence
    Turbulence encounter
  • DCA25LA0232024-11-03no fatalitiesmatch 85
    BOEING 767-322 · UNITED AIRLINES INC
    Kingston, CB
    • ●Environmental issues › Conditions/weather/phenomena › Turbulence
    Turbulence encounter
  • DCA13CA1282013-07-12no fatalitiesmatch 84
    BOEING 777-232 · DELTA AIR LINES INC
    Atlanta, GA
    • ●Environmental issues › Conditions/weather/phenomena › Turbulence
    Turbulence encounter

What the record says

a pattern, not a findingacross the 8 closest cases · 8 carry coded findings · 8 have a probable cause
Findings the Board cited in those cases
Occurrences it coded
  • 8 of 8Turbulence encounter
Set against the Board’s own findings for this case
Cited here, and common in the precedents
  • Conditions/weather/phenomena › Turbulence
Cited here, not seen in the precedents
  • Conditions/weather/phenomena › Convective weather
Common in the precedents, not cited here
  • —

A teaching device, not a verdict: what the record would have looked at, next to what the Board found.

In the Board’s words — the closest cases
  • DCA09IA0712009-08-03 · BOEING 767-224 · CONTINENTAL AIRLINES INC
    The flight crew's inadvertent flight through the top of a convective updraft that resulted in an encounter with convective induced turbulence. Contributing to the severity of the incident was the unrestrained status of several passengers, contrary to the lighted seat belt sign.
  • DCA25LA2722025-07-17 · BOMBARDIER INC CL-600-2D24 · Endeavor Air
    An inadvertent encounter with severe turbulence during descent.
  • WPR11LA0712010-12-03 · BOEING 767 · International Lease Finance Corp
    The airplane’s encounter with convectively-induced turbulence, which resulted in serious injury to one flight attendant.
  • DCA14CA0362014-01-10 · BOEING 757 232 · DELTA AIR LINES INC
    unexpected encounter with convective turbulence while the flight attendants were preparing for arrival.
  • DCA16IA2152016-08-12 · AIRBUS A320 232 · JetBlue Airways
    an inadvertent encounter with convective turbulence while in cruise flight.

This is the pattern in the NTSB’s own record across similar accidents — which findings it cited, what it coded, what it recommended. It is drawn from the record, not written about this case, and it never assigns blame: investigations exist to prevent the next accident (ICAO Annex 13).