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Cases › CEN10LA240 › The analyst

BOEING 767American Airlines

What the docket says, assembled. No language model is involved, so nothing on this page can be invented — every line traces to a recorder, a report page or the Board's own record.

0
timed facts
8
precedents
12
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Every answer is a passage of the docket with the page it came from, or the words “not in the docket”. Nothing is summarised or reasoned for you — read the source.

One timeline

0 timed factsthe recorder events from the FDR report, with the transcript's warnings, callouts, the words nearest each event and the final seconds — on one clock, as printed in each report

No timed facts: this docket has no extracted recorder sequence and no transcript.

Recorder events without a clock time
  • about 2 h 0 min 41 s into the flightCruising at about 41,000 ft and 232 kts with autopilot engaged when the turbulence event began: vertical acceleration fluctuated between -0.5 and 2.0 g, longitudinal between -0.1 and 0.1 g, lateral spiked to 0.2 g and -0.1 g; altitude rose and fell about 100 ft each way; roll as far as 20 deg right; heading changed 20 deg right
  • about 15 s after onsetCaptain disengaged the autopilot for about 15 seconds to correct course and regain control
  • during the eventTotal pressure spiked from 270 mb to 300 mb; wind direction shifted about 20 deg left, accounted for by the 20 deg right heading change; no sudden changes in wind or pressure before the event
Flight Data Recorder 10 - Specialist's Factual Report · 3 events extracted by claude-fable-5-1 (in-session)
How the Board coded the sequence
  1. Enroute-cruise: Windshear or thunderstorm→
  2. Enroute-cruise: Turbulence encounter

Precedents

8 closest casesranked by what happened, in the Board's words, and by the findings and occurrences it coded
  • CEN12LA1662012-02-19no fatalitiesmatch 75
    BOEING 737-832 · DELTA AIR LINES INC
    Detroit, MI
    • ●Aircraft › Aircraft systems › Equipment/furnishings
    • ●Environmental issues › Conditions/weather/phenomena › Turbulence
    Turbulence encounter
  • WPR11LA0712010-12-03no fatalitiesmatch 72
    BOEING 767 · International Lease Finance Corp
    Pago Pago, AQ
    • ●Environmental issues › Conditions/weather/phenomena › Turbulence
    Turbulence encounter
  • ERA11CA3672011-06-22no fatalitiesmatch 70
    MCDONNELL DOUGLAS MD88 · Dynamic Airways, LLC
    Miami, FL
    • ●Environmental issues › Conditions/weather/phenomena › Turbulence
    Turbulence encounter
  • DCA16CA0212015-11-07no fatalitiesmatch 70
    BOEING 787 · UNITED AIR LINES INC
    Beaumont, TX
    • ●Environmental issues › Conditions/weather/phenomena › Turbulence
    Turbulence encounter
  • ERA11CA2472011-04-17no fatalitiesmatch 69
    BOEING 757-2B7 · U.S. Airways, Inc.
    Cheltenham, MD
    • ●Environmental issues › Conditions/weather/phenomena › Turbulence
    Turbulence encounter
  • DCA19CA2072018-10-15no fatalitiesmatch 68
    Boeing 737 · Southwest Airlines
    Albany, NY
    • ●Environmental issues › Conditions/weather/phenomena › Turbulence
    Turbulence encounter
  • DCA09FA0682009-07-27no fatalitiesmatch 68
    EMBRAER EMB170 · Republic Airlines Inc.,
    Norfolk, VA
    • ●Environmental issues › Conditions/weather/phenomena › Turbulence
    Turbulence encounter
  • DCA22LA0012020-07-05no fatalitiesmatch 68
    BOEING 737-7H4 · SOUTHWEST AIRLINES CO
    Orlando, FL
    • ●Environmental issues › Conditions/weather/phenomena › Turbulence
    Turbulence encounter

What the record says

a pattern, not a findingacross the 8 closest cases · 8 carry coded findings · 8 have a probable cause
Findings the Board cited in those cases
Occurrences it coded
  • 8 of 8Turbulence encounter
Set against the Board’s own findings for this case
Cited here, and common in the precedents
  • Conditions/weather/phenomena › Turbulence
Cited here, not seen in the precedents
  • Aircraft oper/perf/capability › Performance/control parameters
  • Conditions/weather/phenomena › Convective weather
Common in the precedents, not cited here
  • —

A teaching device, not a verdict: what the record would have looked at, next to what the Board found.

In the Board’s words — the closest cases
  • CEN12LA1662012-02-19 · BOEING 737-832 · DELTA AIR LINES INC
    An in-flight encounter with forecasted turbulence, which resulted in a serious injury to a flight attendant. Contributing to the accident was the flight attendant not being seated with her seatbelt fastened when the encounter occurred.
  • WPR11LA0712010-12-03 · BOEING 767 · International Lease Finance Corp
    The airplane’s encounter with convectively-induced turbulence, which resulted in serious injury to one flight attendant.
  • ERA11CA3672011-06-22 · MCDONNELL DOUGLAS MD88 · Dynamic Airways, LLC
    The in-flight encounter with convective turbulence, resulting in an injury to a cabin attendant.
  • DCA16CA0212015-11-07 · BOEING 787 · UNITED AIR LINES INC
    An inadvertent encounter with convective turbulence resulting in serious injury to a flight attendant.
  • ERA11CA2472011-04-17 · BOEING 757-2B7 · U.S. Airways, Inc.
    The in-flight encounter with turbulence, resulting in an injury to a cabin attendant.

This is the pattern in the NTSB’s own record across similar accidents — which findings it cited, what it coded, what it recommended. It is drawn from the record, not written about this case, and it never assigns blame: investigations exist to prevent the next accident (ICAO Annex 13).